JB/087/081/003

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56

Indirect Legislation

Satisfying

speech there have is no language to express them: but
which in mathematical language may be expressed
with any degree of truth and accuracy
by the forms made use of in treating of the
doctrine of chances.
Either a man [has stolen] did steal the thing he is
accused of stealing, or he did not: this is undeniable.
But how does it appear to me who am
to judge of it? 1. I may be persuaded that he did
steal it to a degree of certainty that excludes
all doubt: in this case the chances in favour of
the fact of his having stolen it appear to me
to be as infinity to one. 2. I may be persuaded in the
same degree that he did not steal it: in this case
the chances in favour of it the fact of his having
stolen it appear to me to be but as one to infinity,
or which comes to the same thing the chances
against that fact appear to me to be as infinity
to one. 3. I may be unable to form any opinion
about the matter on either side: in this case
the chances in favour of the fact affirmative of his having
stolen the thing appear to me compared to the
chances against it appear to me as one to
one or as any number to the same. Now
it is plain that between absolute certainty on the chance of infinity
to me on the one side and absolute doubt there may be
to one on one side and the chances one to one there may be
as

Identifier: | JB/087/081/003 "JB/" can not be assigned to a declared number type with value 87.
Date_1		Marginal Summary Numbering
Box	087	Main Headings	indirect legislation
Folio number	081	Info in main headings field	indirect legislation
Image	003	Titles
Category	text sheet	Number of Pages	4
Recto/Verso	recto	Page Numbering	f53 / f54 / f55 / f56
Penner	jeremy bentham	Watermarks	[[watermarks::gr [crown motif] [britannia with shield motif]]]
Marginals		Paper Producer
Corrections		Paper Produced in Year
Notes public		ID Number	27606
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